July 2002            Shirley Julich : Moral Panic Bandwagon research


The result of six years of "research". Extraordinary claims with no evidence:

Julich interviews 26 people and from this evidence claims that 8500 children are victims of sex abuse each year and other shonky extrapolations.


Grave concerns:

Pointing out the massive flaws:  Julich research is "just another case of jumping on the moral panic bandwagon"


The Dominion Post
July 19, 2002

Child sex abuse: '8500 new victims'
by Glen Scanlon

More than 8500 children in New Zealand will be sexually abused for the first time this year, a new study says.

Children's groups called the figure "absolutely horrifying".

The Massey University study found that the annual cost to abuse victims was $900 million in lost earnings, extra health bills and lost potential. The total cost to society was $2.4 billion a year.

The six-year study's author, Shirley Julich, interviewed 21 sexual abuse victims, two jurors, a judge and two counsellors to gauge the effect of sex abuse on them. Dr Julich said just 7.5 per cent of adult victims reported childhood sexual abuse to police compared with 90 per cent who reported a stolen car. By the age of 16, 25 per cent of girls and 9 per cent of boys would have been abused.

"Many children being abused today will join the ranks of adult survivors who never report abuse to authorities, let alone confront their abusers. This silence delays victims' recoveries and contributes to the cost to society."

Dr Julich said she believed victims stayed silent long after they were abused because of both Stockholm syndrome (where an emotional bond builds up between a victim and aggressor) and because they believed society would stigmatise them.

"Survivors said that as children they were threatened with their families falling apart and loved ones going to jail if they told. In one case a girl knew if she told anyone her mother would be beaten."

Dr Julich said that often when the victims told police and other agencies they felt it brought them more trouble.

The result of childhood abuse was low self-worth, misuse of alcohol and drugs and psychological problems.

"The cost of sexual abuse in New Zealand indicates its prevention should be a priority. The findings have implications for justice, health, social welfare agencies and the Accident Compensation Corporation."

Women's Refuge national coordinator Roma Balzer said she believed the 25 per cent figure was conservative but the estimate that 8600 children would be abused for the first time this year was shocking.





The Press
July 19, 2002

Child abuse

Sexual abuse of children costs New Zealand $2.4 billion a year, a Massey University study has found. Of that total, $900 million is accounted for by adult survivors of abuse in lost earnings, extra health bills, and unrealised potential.

Each year, 8600 children will be sexually abused for the first time. But just 7.5 per cent of adult victims report childhood sexual abuse to the police. The figures come from a doctoral thesis of Shirley Julich who spent six years on the study, and interviewed 21 adult survivors.

She said the cost of sexual abuse showed its prevention should be a priority, and her findings had implications for the Accident Compensation Corporation, and justice, health, and social welfare agencies.





Massey News
Massey University
.
July 22, 2002

A costly silence on abuse

Sexual abuse of children costs New Zealand $2.4 billion a year. Of that, adult survivors pay $900 million in lost earnings, extra health bills, and unmet potential. The country pays the rest.

The figures come from the social policy doctoral study of Dr Shirley Julich and are based on the 1993 model for costing social problems by economist Suzanne Snively and the Otago Women’s Health Survey of 1991.

Dr Julich investigated the relationship between justice and childhood sexual abuse and the maintenance of silence by adult survivors.

“Each year in New Zealand 8600 children will be sexually abused for the first time. By the time they reach 16, 25 percent of girls and 9 percent of boys will have experienced sexual abuse,” she says.

Many children being abused today will never report abuse they have suffered to the authorities, let alone confront their abusers. “Just 7.5 percent of adult victims report childhood sexual abuse to the police whereas 90 percent of people report a stolen car,” Dr Julich says. “This silence delays victims’ recovery and contributes to the cost to society, as well as to the victims.”

During her six-year study Dr Julich interviewed a judge, two jurors, two counsellors, and 21 adult survivors (18 women and three men), some of whom had not even told close friends or counsellors. To ensure that survivors who had laid an official complaint were included in the study, Dr Julich used various support agencies to find them.

Her findings led her to believe adult victims kept silent long after they could safely report abuse because they were affected by Stockholm Syndrome and deterred by deeply entrenched societal attitudes that would stigmatise them. She found that survivors wanting to break their silence favoured restorative justice over the traditional justice system.

Dr Julich says Stockholm Syndrome became widely recognised in the late 1970s as the emotional bond that occurs between a victim and aggressor. It was noted after Swedish bank staff, taken hostage in a robbery, refused to testify against their captors and even raised money for their defence.

Its precursors are: the victims’ lives are threatened and they believe the offender will carry out the threat, they cannot escape, they are isolated, and the captor shows occasional kindness. To stay alive, victims develop strategies to keep captors happy at the expense of their own feelings because fear overrides all else.

“Survivors said that as children they were threatened with their families falling apart and loved ones going to jail, if they told. In one case, a girl knew if she told anyone, her mother would be beaten. These threats cause emotional and psychological isolation of the child. Survivors said they believed they could not escape because they thought other adults must know but did not stop the abuse. The response of police and other agencies when they did tell brought them more trouble so they didn’t tell anyone else. Finally, abusers showed kindness by giving the children presents and ‘love’,” she said.

The result of childhood abuse for many victims is low self worth, misuse of alcohol and drugs, and ongoing psychological problems.

“The cost of child sexual abuse in New Zealand indicates its prevention should be a priority. The findings of this research have implications for justice, health and social welfare agencies and the Accident Compensation Corporation.”



The Dominion Post
July 25, 2002

Sex abuse bandwagon
Letter to the Editor
by Martin O'Cahill, Wellington

It is with grave concern I read that we will have 8500 children sexually abused by the end of the year, if we are to believe Shirley Julich, of Massey University.

What alarms me is that again we have studies telling us how much in danger our children are, while presenting little if any evidence. The article in question concerns a six-year study based on only 26 interviews and then only 21 of them were "abuse victims". The massive flaw in this study is that not all sexual encounters are abuse, but the tragedy is that the law does not differentiate abusive and non-abusive sex.

From those few interviews we are asked to believe that 8500 people will be abused. When 8500 cases don't materialise then these experts trot out all sorts of psychobabble to justify their original estimates. Maybe the estimates were wrong in the first place. At the time of the last Telethon in 1988, I seem to recall a previous "study" telling us that one in four girls would be sexually abused. A study about the ensuing moral panic might be more productive.

Following on the heels of the questionable decision to resume the $10,000 ACC handouts, this study, I am sure, will lead to an appeal to the Government for more taxpayers' money to keep the counsellors, detectives, psychologists, doctors and all involved with the sexual abuse industry in their jobs.

When my taxes are going to be called on then I want better proof than this. There are many other studies available that disagree with Dr Julich but no one wants to discuss those. Why?

This is just another case of jumping on the moral panic bandwagon.