April 2004           Shirley Julich : Moral Panic Bandwagon research


Shirley Julich research quality hasn't changed since she was awarded her doctorate.

A couple of years later, she claims that the cost of being sexually abused is $84,175 of which $81,033 is for "loss of quality of life"

This conclusion is based on unnamed research that "25% of girls and 9% of boys have been abused" and on unnamed research that such people will earn 10% less than other people.



Nothing has changed from 2002 when Julich was told that her research was outrageously misleading.

Letters by Gordon Waugh and Martin O'Cahill from 2002 are reproduced.

Julich is still "jumping on the moral panic bandwagon".
 



NZ Herald
April 19, 2004

Violated child costs $84,000
by Martin Johnston, health reporter

Each case of child sexual abuse costs the victim, the offender and the Government $84,175 on average, an Auckland researcher estimates.

Dr Shirley Julich, an Auckland University of Technology senior lecturer, has totted up the costs associated with child sexual abuse.

Included are GP visits, mental healthcare, loss of income for victim and offender, police, prison and court costs, ACC spending on counselling and the victims' pain, suffering and loss of enjoyment.

Based on research showing that 25 per cent of girls and 9 per cent of boys have been sexually abused, she calculates that 8200 children are abused for the first time each year. And on 1996 census data, there are likely to be 620,000 people alive who have been abused.

Dr Julich said US research showed that child sexual abuse victims were less likely to gain formal job qualifications and so earned 10 per cent less than those not sexually victimised as children. For fulltimers that meant $3051 less a year.

"It's kind of crass really to be trying to put trauma into dollar terms,"  she said, but to justify spending a lot of money on a programme, policy makers and analysts "need to have some assurance there will be a drop in the incidence of abuse".

Her estimate, updated to 2003 dollar values, is based on a 1994 costing of domestic violence, figures specific to child sexual abuse, overseas research and her own interviews with abuse victims.


Abuse costs, Costs per victim:

* Average lifetime cost to individuals and taxpayers is $84,175 in total.

Includes:

§                Medical charges, victims' and offenders' lost income and other individual costs, $1545.

§                State costs of healthcare, welfare, justice, $360.

§                Victims' lost quality of life, $81,033.









Stuff
April 19, 2004

The high cost of child sex abuse
NZPA

Each case of child sexual abuse costs the victim, the offender and the Government more than $84,000 on average, an Auckland researcher estimates.

Auckland University of Technology senior lecturer Shirley Julich totted up all the costs associated with child sexual abuse at $84,175.

She said she erred on the lower side for all of them.

Included are GP visits, mental health care, loss of income for victim and perpetrator, police, prison and court costs, ACC spending on counselling and victims' pain and suffering.

Speaking at a weekend conference on sexual offending she quoted research figures claiming that 25 per cent of girls and 9 per cent of boys have been sexually abused.

Based on that she calculated that 8200 children were abused for the first time each year.

On 1996 census figures, there would be 620,000 people alive who had been abused.

Dr Julich said US research showed that child sexual abuse victims were less likely to gain formal job qualifications and so earned 10 per cent less than those not sexually victimised as children. For fulltimers that equated to $3051 less a year.

"It's kind of crass really to be trying to put trauma into dollar terms (and) it's incredibly difficult to put a dollar value on it.

"But that's not the language of policy makers and policy analysts. To justify spending a lot of money on a programme they need to have some assurance there will be a drop in the incidence of children being abused."

Her estimate, updated to 2003 dollar values, is based on a 1994 costing of domestic violence, figures specific to child sexual abuse, overseas research and her own interviews with abuse victims.

It did not include the costs incurred by dependents of sexual abuse victims, she said.

"The inability of society to effectively deal with the aftermath of child sexual abuse creates huge downstream costs.

"(A) study of non-organic failure to thrive in infants highlights the diversity of these costs. (It) identified that 42 per cent of the mothers whose infants failed to thrive had been sexually abused as children. If we were to include such downstream consequences the costs would likely increase exponentially."










Western Leader
August 22, 2002

Research by Shirley Julich
by Gordon Waugh

The "research" by Dr Shirley Julich on sexual abuse, reported in your article "Abuse carries steep price" (Aug 15), ranks her high amongst those skilled in breathtaking sophistry. Her study lacks academic rigour and is outrageously misleading.

No-one disputes that sexual abuse occurs and is abhorrent. No-one knows the actual prevalence of sexual abuse, but many make guesses.  Findings about sexual abuse are not a matter of impression, theory, opinion or speculation. They must be evidence-based on facts properly determined from empirical scientific methodology.

Her "research" is similar to a raft of other retrospective studies which drew fatally flawed conclusions from unverified data. The quite silly idea that one in every four females and 9 per cent of males are sexually abused by age 16 has long since been discredited.  During her six years of work, Dr Julich apparently did not raise her head to do a reality check.

She gathered data from a miniscule sample of 21 "survivors" and reports from a self-help "survivor" group. She must prove she externally corroborated the abuse allegations and that her thesis properly accounted for the well-known range of biases inherent in such retrospective studies. It is illogical to extrapolate such "findings" to the general population.

In the light of accurate Ministry of Justice statistics on sexual abuse convictions, her conclusion that only 7.5% of abuse is reported is utter nonsense, as is her finding that an "offender" averages 50 victims before being caught.   Her attribution of the Stockholm Syndrome is laughable.

If 8,600 children are sexually abused for the FIRST time EVERY year, the entire population will have been sexually abused over a very short period of time. And she claims this costs $2.4 Billion annually!

Her reported conclusions rely on inadequate data, ill-informed speculation, discredited ideology and misguided beliefs. No doubt Dr Julich will now be treated as an "expert" and will influence social policy. And Massey University will continue to award doctorates for this sort of appalling drivel. God Defend New Zealand.












The Dominion Post
July 25, 2002

Sex abuse bandwagon
by Martin O'Cahill

It is with grave concern I read that we will have 8500 children sexually abused by the end of the year, if we are to believe Shirley Julich, of Massey University.

What alarms me is that again we have studies telling us how much in danger our children are, while presenting little if any evidence. The article in question concerns a six-year study based on only 26 interviews and then only 21 of them were "abuse victims". The massive flaw in this study is that not all sexual encounters are abuse, but the tragedy is that the law does not differentiate abusive and non-abusive sex.

From those few interviews we are asked to believe that 8500 people will be abused. When 8500 cases don't materialise then these experts trot out all sorts of psychobabble to justify their original estimates. Maybe the estimates were wrong in the first place. At the time of the last Telethon in 1988, I seem to recall a previous "study" telling us that one in four girls would be sexually abused. A study about the ensuing moral panic might be more productive.

Following on the heels of the questionable decision to resume the $10,000 ACC handouts, this study, I am sure, will lead to an appeal to the Government for more taxpayers' money to keep the counsellors, detectives, psychologists, doctors and all involved with the sexual abuse industry in their jobs.

When my taxes are going to be called on then I want better proof than this. There are many other studies available that disagree with Dr Julich but no one wants to discuss those. Why?

This is just another case of jumping on the moral panic bandwagon.