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Otago Daily Times
March 5 2005

Police and statistics
Editorial

Through the rose-tinted glasses of the Police Minister and police chiefs, the latest national crime statistics make heartening reading. Reported crime dropped more than 8% in 2004 over the previous 12 months, the biggest decrease in recorded crime since 1970.

The figures are quite remarkable; some might say, incredible, even allowing for the healthy state of the economy and low unemployment. All 12 police districts recorded a drop in reported crime, with national figures for all crime categories, including violence and sexual offending, down by various degrees, and resolution rates for most crimes continuing to climb. Violence is down nearly 1%, sexual offending 5.4%, drugs and anti-social behaviour 7.4%, dishonesty 9.7%, administrative 19.4%, property damage 5.4% and property abuses 6%. Police Commissioner Rob Robinson attributes the drop in crime to successful detection and the increased use of intelligence. Police Minister George Hawkins says “a focused police force” has helped reduce the rate of recorded crime 22% since 1999.

What a pity, then, that such an apparently good record has been tarnished by more than a few black marks. One in the Southern police district has been the 19.3% increase in violent crime in rural Otago — a rise that highlights not only the increasing populations of tourist towns but the insistence of police chiefs that more police are not needed in these areas. This is despite previous figures showing sometimes sharp increases in rural crime and the often stymied concerns of staff, including some senior figures who have resigned.

Surely, though, the figures taken as a whole are good news. Most citizens, we believe, would like to think so because, despite the tarnished public image of the police, a vast majority of the population still believes the great majority of the country’s police officers are good and hard-working people doing their jobs well. Yet it would be foolhardy not to take serious note of doubts being cast on police crime statistics. Last month, two police officers, one with 20 years’ front-line experience, claimed district commanders were manipulating crime statistics to make them look good. Police Association president Greg O’Connor added commanders were under extreme political pressure to cut crime. “Where there are ways of recording crime to make the statistics look better, that option is being taken,” Mr O’Connor said. If that means crime is being recorded inaccurately or as cleared when it is not, that must be addressed at the highest level. Clearance rates for some crime, such as burglary and car theft, are already low. Police solve less than one in five car thefts and the national burglary clearance rate is little better. Nationally, the clearance rate for dishonesty offences in 2004 was just 23.8% and 31.6% for property damage. Add to these concerns, claims that the public is so disillusioned that many, mainly minor, crimes go unreported and the picture is nowhere near so rosy as police chiefs would have us believe.

One of the most troubling aspects of police administration in the past 12 months, however, has been the direction of police resources into traffic at the apparent expense of other areas of law enforcement. While the number of speeding infringement notices has soared, police numbers in New Zealand continue to lag behind other comparable nations. And while police 111 call response efforts are under scrutiny, so many police seem to spend their time ticketing motorists for speeding and other relatively minor traffic infringements. In addition, there have been continuing revelations of police misconduct, pointing to a worrying “culture” among an unknown number of the 10,000 or so police staff. Allegations of historical pack rape involving police officers are still being investigated and the recent court case involving South Auckland section leader Senior Sergeant Anthony Solomoana revealed police behaviour Judge Bruce Davidson described as “disturbing” and “sick”.

All of this comes down to a matter of public confidence. At an individual level, the police are still held in high public regard but, despite the self-justifying attempts of the Police Minister and police hierarchy, there are still too many doubts for there to be full confidence in police administration, and, we fear, police crime statistics. Many might be tempted to recall the words attributed to 19th century British statesman Benjamin Disraeli: “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics”.